Monday, 29 October 2018

Approaching All Souls


(19.1/1000) * 1 500 000 000 / 365.242 5
= 78 441.035 750 220 743 752 4
78 441 per day, nearly 80 000 per day

(8.1/1000) * 7000000000 / 365.242 5
= 155 239.327 296 248 382 923 7
155 239 per day or 155 000 + per day

19.1/1000 was crude death rate each year in 1950-55, here projected back to 1850 when world population was c. 1.5 billion. 8.1/1000 was CDR 2010-2015, arguably so far of 2015-2020, and here compared to a world population of 7 billion.

It seems, Antony Maria Claret was fairly spot on about 80 000 dying each day, in his day, now there are more./HGL

Sources:

Wiki : Mortality rate, a linea Mortality statistics
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortality_rate#Mortality_statistics


World population estimates from 1800 to 2100, based on "high", "medium" and "low" United Nations projections in 2015 and UN historical estimates for pre-1950 data
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#/media/File:World_population_v3.svg


So, no, St. Antony Maria Claret was arguably not bluffing about how many died each day./HGL

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