From Five and Ten to Fifteen, the Long Way

Statistic Chances for Correct Statistics from Insecure Items ... · Zero Polarity on Five Item Statistics · One Lifespan Too Short in Five · One Lifespan Too Long in Five · Method for Good Choice · Two LifeSpans Too Short in Five Items · Two Lifespans Too Long in Five · The More Extreme Variations or Deviations · Summary for Five Lifespans · From Five to Fifteen? · From Five to Ten, the Long Way · From Five and Ten to Fifteen, the Long Way · From Fifteen to Thirty

Same method as previous, except left hand we get probabilities out of the larger list, -10 to +10, and right hand from smaller one, as previously, -5 to +5.

overall correct

0.53250254490066198554120957851409

one lifespan in deficit

0.19457948503687863317008595913649

one lifespan in excess

0.19457948503687863317008595913649

two lifespans in deficit

0.03491280835932598368558101356028

two lifespans in excess

0.03491280835932598368558101356028

three lifespans in deficit

0.00392996417819589468205813318492

three lifespans in excess

0.00392996417819589468205813318492

four lifespans in deficit

3.0792591352135758725926280021668e-4

four lifespans in excess

3.0792591352135758725926280021668e-4

[one in 3248]

five lifespans in deficit

1.7741564155219146064482629299164e-5

five lifespans in excess

1.7741564155219146064482629299164e-5

[one in 56 365]

six lifespans in deficit

7.7561234491884321905672550201417e-7

six lifespans in excess

7.7561234491884321905672550201417e-7

[one in 1 289 304]

seven lifespans in deficit

2.6183041395236668176949024200439e-8

seven lifespans in excess

2.6183041395236668176949024200439e-8

[one in 38 192 660]

eight lifespans in deficit

6.8791709289718419313430786132813e-10

eight lifespans in excess

6.8791709289718419313430786132813e-10

[one in 1 453 663 545]

nine lifespans in deficit

1.4063955047889612615108489990234e-11

nine lifespans in excess

1.4063955047889612615108489990234e-11

[one in 71 103 754 001]

ten lifespans in deficit

[supplied from following due to obvious error]

ten lifespans in excess

2.2188095608167350292205810546875e-13

[one in 4 506 921 268 321]

eleven lifespans in deficit

2.652576011605560779571533203125e-15

eleven lifespans in excess

2.652576011605560779571533203125e-15

[one in 376 992 024 215 252]

twelve lifespans in deficit

2.32595391571521759033203125e-17

twelve lifespans in excess

2.32595391571521759033203125e-17

[one in 42 993 113 201 578 875]

thirteen lifespans in deficit

1.41221098601818084716796875e-19

thirteen lifespans in excess

1.41221098601818084716796875e-19

[one in 7 081 094 892 340 158 934]

fourteen lifespans in deficit

5.3085386753082275390625e-22

fourteen lifespans in excess

5.3085386753082275390625e-22

[one in 1 883 757 585 964 912 280 702]

fifteen lifespans in deficit

9.31322574615478515625e-25

fifteen lifespans in excess

9.31322574615478515625e-25

[one in 1 073 741 824 000 000 000 000 000]

0.53250254490066198554120957851409
+ 0.19457948503687863317008595913649
+ 0.19457948503687863317008595913649
= 0.92166151497441925188138149678707

So, in fifteen wikipedian articles, with initial assumption (as the word is used) of 95 % chance of each being correct, 2.5 % of each having an excessive and 2.5 % of each having a decicient lifespan, the chances are for either no overall deficit or excess, or only one unbalanced lifespan in excess or deficit, 92.17 %.

The article was updated to change decimal commas to decimal points./HGL