Summary for Five Lifespans

Statistic Chances for Correct Statistics from Insecure Items ... · Zero Polarity on Five Item Statistics · One Lifespan Too Short in Five · One Lifespan Too Long in Five · Method for Good Choice · Two LifeSpans Too Short in Five Items · Two Lifespans Too Long in Five · The More Extreme Variations or Deviations · Summary for Five Lifespans · From Five to Fifteen? · From Five to Ten, the Long Way · From Five and Ten to Fifteen, the Long Way · From Fifteen to Thirty

First item means excess and deficit cancel out, each minus means a deficit beyond what cancels out, each plus an excess beyond what cancels out:

+/-0

0.7845092578125

-1

0.10223642578125

+1

0.10223642578125

-2

0.005366015625

+2

0.005366015625

-3

0.000141064453125

+3

0.000141064453125

-4

0.00000185546875

+4

0.00000185546875

-5

0.000000009765625

+5

0.000000009765625

So, on five items, assigning 95 % probability to correctness of each and equal probability to excess and deficit of 2.5 % to each, we have 78.45 % probability of no excess or deficit, an added 10.22 % probability each of exactly one being in excess or deficit, meaning a total of* 98.9 % probability of either no or only slight excess or deficit./HGL

Update:

The sums add up to a total of 100 % : 0.7845092578125 + 0.10223642578125 + 0.10223642578125 + 0.005366015625 + 0.005366015625 + 0.000141064453125 + 0.000141064453125 + 0.00000185546875 + 0.00000185546875 + 0.000000009765625 + 0.000000009765625 = 1

* On calculator : 0.988982109375